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Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Twente

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Berrio J.
86' Event
Berggreen E.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong De Graafschap and Jong FC Twente finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jong De Graafschap
6%
Draws
4%
Jong FC Twente
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jong De Graafschap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong FC Twente haven't matched Jong De Graafschap's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jong De Graafschap's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 20%
Jong FC Twente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong De Graafschap Jong FC Twente
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.14 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.43 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.14 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.43 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap
0:2
Nov 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Twente
1:1
Aug 27, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Berrio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Jong FC Twente Compare

Top Goalscorer Berggreen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong De Graafschap 85 / 100
Jong FC Twente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong De Graafschap Jong FC Twente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong De Graafschap scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Jong FC Twente let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Jong De Graafschap has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong De Graafschap VS Jong FC Twente
2.14 Goals Scored 0.38
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Groningen U211063124:1321
2Jong G.A. Eagles1055022:820
3Jong Zwolle1062225:1420
4Jong Feyenoord1053222:1818
5Jong Heerenveen1043321:2415
6Jong Heracles1042418:1214
7Jong FC Emmen1033421:1912
8Jong Cambuur1031617:2610
9Jong De Graafschap1031613:2510
10Jong Vitesse1022613:228
11Jong FC Twente100377:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jong NAC Breda1091021:428
2Jong Willem II1070322:1321
3Jong Waalwijk1060425:1018
4Jong Nijmegen1052323:1417
5Jong Roda1051425:1816
6Jong Venlo1050529:1415
7Jong Sittard1040619:2712
8Jong Den Bosch1032515:2711
9Jong FC Eindhoven1031616:3710
10Jong Excelsior1022614:298
11Jong Dordrecht1003713:293