Sport Picks
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Heerenveen
Netherlands
Reserve League 2019/2020 
Match Events
1'
1'
van der Heide A.
6'
6'
Bruijn J.
Penalty Missed
22'
22'
Smit R.
AI Match Summary
The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong De Graafschap and Jong Heerenveen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Heerenveen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong De Graafschap haven't matched Jong Heerenveen's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Jong De Graafschap taking it.
- Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Jong Heerenveen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong De Graafschap | Jong Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.48 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.55 | 0.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Heerenveen
1:3
May 6, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Heerenveen
2:3
Dec 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Heerenveen
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong De Graafschap Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.78
Jong Heerenveen Compare
Top Goalscorer van der Heide A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smit R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong De Graafschap 85 / 100
Jong Heerenveen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong De Graafschap Jong Heerenveen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong De Graafschap's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.33 goals.
Jong Heerenveen let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Jong De Graafschap went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong De Graafschap VS Jong Heerenveen
2.6 Goals Scored 0.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.5
40% Over 1.5 25%
40% Over 2.5 13%
40% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong De Graafschap
(Home) 18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2 Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0 Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2 Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4 Jong Cambuur
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09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4 Jong Cambuur
20 Jan
Jong De Graafschap
4 : 1 Jong FC Emmen
09 Dec
Jong De Graafschap
3 : 2 Jong FC Emmen
26 Nov
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 1 Jong FC Twente
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Jong Heerenveen
(Away) 04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1 Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4 Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0 Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0 Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
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14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0 Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0 Jong Heerenveen
01 Nov
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 0 Jong Heerenveen
07 Aug
Hardenberg
3 : 0 Jong Heerenveen
10 Mar
Groningen U21
1 : 1 Jong Heerenveen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jong G.A. Eagles | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Jong Zwolle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Jong Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 5 | Jong Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Jong Heracles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Jong FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 9 | Jong De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong FC Twente | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong NAC Breda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Jong Willem II | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Jong Waalwijk | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Jong Nijmegen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Jong Roda | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25:18 | 16 |
| 6 | Jong Venlo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Jong Sittard | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 9 | Jong FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:37 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Excelsior | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:29 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong Dordrecht | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
