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Jong Den Haag vs USV Hercules

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Den Haag host USV Hercules in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Jong Den Haag at 2 goals for, 1.53 against; USV Hercules at 1.76 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Jong Den Haag have won 0 to USV Hercules's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.68, favoring Jong Den Haag. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jong Den Haag
15%
Draws
42%
USV Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Den Haag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • USV Hercules have won more games recently than Jong Den Haag.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Jong Den Haag taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 13%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Den Haag USV Hercules
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Derde Divisie
Jong Den Haag vs USV Hercules
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Jong Den Haag
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Den Haag 84 / 100
USV Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Den Haag USV Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Haag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Den Haag scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

USV Hercules has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: USV Hercules registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS USV Hercules
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Den Haag

(Home)
02 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 0
Jong Den Haag
12 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Jong Den Haag
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 4

USV Hercules

(Away)
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4
TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)