Sport Picks
Jong Excelsior vs Jong De Graafschap
Netherlands
Reserve League 2019/2020 
AI Match Summary
Jong Excelsior host Jong De Graafschap in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Jong De Graafschap have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Jong Excelsior have conceded 2.15 and scored 2.65. Past meetings favor Jong De Graafschap slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.81 - 2.31) back Jong Excelsior to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Jong Excelsior come out ahead of Jong De Graafschap on wins alone.
- Jong De Graafschap are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Excelsior | Jong De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.65 | 2.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jong Excelsior scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.
Jong De Graafschap let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Solid form: Jong Excelsior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
