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Jong Excelsior vs Jong Den Bosch

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Meijer S.
48' Event
Meijer S.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Miedema L.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Excelsior and Jong Den Bosch finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Jong Excelsior
15%
Draws
37%
Jong Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Excelsior come out ahead of Jong Den Bosch on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Excelsior Jong Den Bosch
Matches Played 26 18
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.65 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.15 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Den Bosch
3:2
Oct 1, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Den Bosch vs Jong Excelsior
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Meijer S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urban N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Jong Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Miedema L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Excelsior 34 / 100
Jong Den Bosch 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Excelsior Jong Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Bosch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Excelsior scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Den Bosch has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jong Excelsior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Excelsior VS Jong Den Bosch
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Excelsior

(Home)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong Den Bosch

(Away)
09 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
2 : 3
Jong Den Bosch
02 Mar
Jong Den Bosch
1 : 1
Jong FC Twente
17 Feb
Jong Den Bosch
4 : 1
Jong FC Eindhoven
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong Den Bosch
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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