Sport Picks
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Dordrecht
Netherlands
Reserve League 2019/2020 
Match Events
7'
7'
Zwarts J.
35'
35'
Overman G.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Amadin N.
AI Match Summary
Jong Excelsior in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Jong Excelsior have won more games recently than Jong Dordrecht.
- Win probability leans Jong Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 19%
Jong Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Excelsior | Jong Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.65 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 3.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Dordrecht
0:0
Nov 25, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Dordrecht
3:2
May 7, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Dordrecht
4:1
Aug 20, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Dordrecht
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fischer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Jong Dordrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Amadin N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Excelsior 85 / 100
Jong Dordrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Excelsior Jong Dordrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jong Excelsior scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.
Defensive concern: Jong Dordrecht conceded in 100% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Jong Dordrecht's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Jong Excelsior VS Jong Dordrecht
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Excelsior
(Home) 29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4 Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1 Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Sittard
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Den Bosch
20 Jan
Jong Excelsior
2 : 1 Jong FC Twente
09 Dec
Jong Excelsior
2 : 2 Jong FC Eindhoven
25 Nov
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Dordrecht
Page 1 of 3
Jong Dordrecht
(Away) 11 Aug
Jong Feyenoord
5 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4 Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Sittard
2 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3 Jong FC Eindhoven
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Jong Feyenoord
5 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
17 Feb
Jong Sittard
2 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
27 Jan
Jong Den Bosch
5 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
09 Dec
Jong Willem II
3 : 0 Jong Dordrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jong G.A. Eagles | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Jong Zwolle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Jong Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 5 | Jong Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Jong Heracles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Jong FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 9 | Jong De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong FC Twente | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong NAC Breda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Jong Willem II | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Jong Waalwijk | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Jong Nijmegen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Jong Roda | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25:18 | 16 |
| 6 | Jong Venlo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Jong Sittard | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 9 | Jong FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:37 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Excelsior | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:29 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong Dordrecht | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
