Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Valpoort A.
66'
66'
Vijgen J.
66'
66'
Tjoe a On N.
AI Match Summary
The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Excelsior and Jong Roda finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Jong Roda have managed 2.58 goals a game lately — Jong Excelsior are scoring more at 2.65.
- Model gives Jong Excelsior a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jong Excelsior have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 14%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Excelsior | Jong Roda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.65 | 2.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Roda
3:1
Mar 11, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Excelsior
0:3
Nov 26, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Roda
4:2
Feb 13, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Excelsior
0:3
Nov 21, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Roda
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Valpoort A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tjoe a On N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Jong Roda Compare
Top Goalscorer Vijgen J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Excelsior 57 / 100
Jong Roda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Excelsior Jong Roda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jong Excelsior scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.
Jong Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Jong Excelsior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jong Excelsior VS Jong Roda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Excelsior
(Home) 29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4 Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1 Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Sittard
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Den Bosch
20 Jan
Jong Excelsior
2 : 1 Jong FC Twente
09 Dec
Jong Excelsior
2 : 2 Jong FC Eindhoven
25 Nov
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Dordrecht
Page 1 of 3
Jong Roda
(Away) 04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2 Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1 Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4 Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1 Jong Roda
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2 Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong Roda
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1 Jong Roda
28 Jan
Jong Feyenoord
1 : 4 Jong Roda
25 Nov
Jong Willem II
2 : 3 Jong Roda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jong G.A. Eagles | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Jong Zwolle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Jong Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 5 | Jong Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Jong Heracles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Jong FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 9 | Jong De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong FC Twente | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong NAC Breda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Jong Willem II | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Jong Waalwijk | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Jong Nijmegen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Jong Roda | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25:18 | 16 |
| 6 | Jong Venlo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Jong Sittard | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 9 | Jong FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:37 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Excelsior | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:29 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong Dordrecht | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
