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Jong Excelsior vs Jong Sittard

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fernandes L.
27' Event
Horemans S.
Own Goal
64' Event
Valpoort A.

AI Match Summary

Jong Excelsior in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jong Excelsior
15%
Draws
45%
Jong Sittard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than Jong Sittard.
  • Win probability leans Jong Sittard's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jong Sittard here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 15%
Jong Sittard Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Excelsior Jong Sittard
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.65 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.15 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Sittard
3:2
Aug 20, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Sittard
0:4
Oct 8, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Sittard
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Valpoort A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meijer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Jong Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Excelsior 27 / 100
Jong Sittard 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Excelsior Jong Sittard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sittard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Excelsior's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Jong Sittard has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jong Excelsior stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Excelsior VS Jong Sittard
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Excelsior

(Home)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong Sittard

(Away)
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
22 Feb
Jong Sittard
6 : 1
Jong Almere City
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
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