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Stadium Background

Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Adzic L.
34' Event
Mendes Moreira A.
42' Event
Arias J.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong FC Emmen and Jong Excelsior finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong FC Emmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jong FC Emmen
15%
Draws
48%
Jong Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Excelsior carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Emmen Jong Excelsior
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Excelsior
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adzic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Jong Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes Moreira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Emmen 31 / 100
Jong Excelsior 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Emmen Jong Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong FC Emmen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Emmen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Jong Excelsior has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jong FC Emmen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Emmen VS Jong Excelsior
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong FC Emmen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
07 Dec
Jong Almere City
2 : 2
Jong FC Emmen
01 Nov
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
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Jong Excelsior

(Away)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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