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Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Vitesse

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 De Oude Meerdijk
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong FC Emmen play Jong Vitesse in the Reserve League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong FC Emmen averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Jong Vitesse averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Jong FC Emmen won 0, Jong Vitesse won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 27, 2020 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.03 for Jong FC Emmen and 0.89 for Jong Vitesse. This points to a Jong Vitesse double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong FC Emmen
22%
Draws
39%
Jong Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jong Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong FC Emmen picked up more points recently compared to Jong Vitesse.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.03 vs 0.89 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 25%
Jong Vitesse Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Emmen Jong Vitesse
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.93 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Vitesse
1:1
Sep 23, 2019 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Vitesse
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Quispel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jong Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer ten Teije L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Emmen 40 / 100
Jong Vitesse 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Emmen Jong Vitesse

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong Vitesse or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong FC Emmen attacking → ← attacking Jong Vitesse

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Emmen scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Jong Vitesse let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jong FC Emmen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jong Vitesse lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 38
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.14
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.57