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Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Almere City Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Musaba A.
34' Event
Nygren B.
49' Event
Bouyaghlafen O.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Jong Heerenveen and Jong Almere City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong Heerenveen
20%
Draws
29%
Jong Almere City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Heerenveen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jong Heerenveen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 19%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heerenveen Jong Almere City
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.21 1.8
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Almere City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Musaba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nygren B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Jong Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouyaghlafen O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heerenveen 36 / 100
Jong Almere City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heerenveen Jong Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Almere City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Jong Heerenveen scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Jong Heerenveen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jong Almere City
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heerenveen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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Jong Almere City

(Away)
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4
Jong Almere City
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3
Spakenburg
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)