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Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kaib R.
50' Event
Nygren B.
60' Event
Szoke A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Jong Heerenveen in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong Heerenveen
20%
Draws
29%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Heracles have won more games recently than Jong Heerenveen.
  • Win probability leans Jong Heerenveen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heerenveen Jong Heracles
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.21 1.83
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2022 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Heerenveen
0:0
Sep 27, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Heracles
3:2
Apr 6, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Heerenveen
0:0
Sep 30, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong Heracles
1:1
Nov 26, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Heerenveen
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaib R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nygren B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Szoke A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heerenveen 36 / 100
Jong Heracles 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heerenveen Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heerenveen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Jong Heracles conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jong Heerenveen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heerenveen VS Jong Heracles
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heerenveen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)