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Jong Helmond Sport vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2016/2017 GS Staalwerken Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Helmond Sport play Jong Willem II in the Reserve League 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong Helmond Sport averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Jong Willem II averaged 1.68 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Helmond Sport won 2, Jong Willem II won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 3, 2018 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Jong Helmond Sport and 1.74 for Jong Willem II. This points to a Jong Willem II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jong Helmond Sport
15%
Draws
48%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Helmond Sport picked up more points recently compared to Jong Willem II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Jong Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 12%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Helmond Sport Jong Willem II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.04

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Helmond Sport
4:0
Apr 23, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Helmond Sport
4:2
Nov 20, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Helmond Sport vs Jong Willem II
4:2
Jan 28, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Helmond Sport vs Jong Willem II
0:5
Dec 5, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Helmond Sport
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Helmond Sport 36 / 100
Jong Willem II 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Helmond Sport Jong Willem II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong Willem II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong Helmond Sport attacking → ← attacking Jong Willem II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Helmond Sport scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Jong Willem II let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Jong Helmond Sport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jong Willem II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13