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Jong Heracles vs Jong De Graafschap

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
dos Santos D.
24' Event
van der Water S.
52' Event
Bijleveld T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2020 game between Jong Heracles and Jong De Graafschap finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jong Heracles
20%
Draws
51%
Jong De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong De Graafschap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jong De Graafschap's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jong Heracles have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 14%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong De Graafschap
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.78 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Jong Heracles vs Jong De Graafschap
5:1
Sep 17, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Heracles
0:2
Sep 17, 2018 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong Heracles
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Bijleveld T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Jong De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiazor D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 10 / 100
Jong De Graafschap 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Heracles's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jong De Graafschap conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jong Heracles has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong De Graafschap
1.13 Goals Scored 2.6
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
25% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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Jong De Graafschap

(Away)
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
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