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Jong Heracles vs Jong Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Roda in this Reserve League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jong Heracles
30%
Draws
23%
Jong Roda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Roda have won more games recently than Jong Heracles.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jong Heracles taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heracles Jong Roda
Matches Played 24 26
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.83 2.58
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Heracles
0:0
Mar 13, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Roda
0:2
Aug 15, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Heracles
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heracles 36 / 100
Jong Roda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heracles Jong Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Roda has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Heracles's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Jong Roda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heracles VS Jong Roda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heracles

(Home)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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Jong Roda

(Away)
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2
Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1
Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1
Jong Roda
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