Sport Picks

North & Central America

Caribbean Club Shield 2022

AS Le Gosier

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jong Holland play AS Le Gosier in the Caribbean Club Shield 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong Holland averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. AS Le Gosier averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Holland won 0, AS Le Gosier won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.08 for Jong Holland and 1.81 for AS Le Gosier. This points to a Jong Holland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Jong Holland

17%

Draws

39%

AS Le Gosier

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jong Holland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Jong Holland picked up more points recently compared to AS Le Gosier.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.08 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Jong Holland Clean Sheet 11%

AS Le Gosier Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jong Holland	AS Le Gosier
Matches Played	31	11
Wins	16	5
Draws	6	1
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	2.06	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.23	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 CFU Club Shield

Jong Holland vs AS Le Gosier

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Apr 19, 2022 CFU Club Shield

Jong Holland vs AS Le Gosier

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Holland 42 / 100

AS Le Gosier 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jong Holland AS Le Gosier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong Holland or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong Holland attacking → ← attacking AS Le Gosier

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Holland scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

AS Le Gosier let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Jong Holland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AS Le Gosier lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 16

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.67