Sport Picks

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Jong Maastricht vs Jong Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League De Geusselt, Maastricht
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Verheijen T.
20' Event
45' Event
Verheijen T.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Jong Maastricht and Jong Venlo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jong Maastricht
15%
Draws
85%
Jong Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Venlo come out ahead of Jong Maastricht on wins alone.
  • Jong Venlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Maastricht Jong Venlo
Matches Played 6 20
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0.33 2.3
Goals Conceded 4.33 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Maastricht vs Jong Venlo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Maastricht Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Jong Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Verheijen T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Maastricht 10 / 100
Jong Venlo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Maastricht Jong Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Venlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jong Venlo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Jong Maastricht's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Maastricht VS Jong Venlo
0.29 Goals Scored 1
3.71 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Maastricht

(Home)
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
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Jong Venlo

(Away)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)