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Jong NAC Breda vs Groningen U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Mon, Mar 16, 2020
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong NAC Breda host Groningen U21 in the Reserve League 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Jong NAC Breda have averaged 2.04 scored and 0.85 conceded recently, against Groningen U21's 1.85 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Jong NAC Breda have won 0 to Groningen U21's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.24, favoring Jong NAC Breda. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jong NAC Breda
30%
Draws
41%
Groningen U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Groningen U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Groningen U21 lately — more wins on the board than Jong NAC Breda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 19%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong NAC Breda Groningen U21
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.04 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2020 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Groningen U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong NAC Breda 36 / 100
Groningen U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong NAC Breda Groningen U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong NAC Breda found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Groningen U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Jong NAC Breda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Groningen U21
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong NAC Breda

(Home)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
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Groningen U21

(Away)
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
06 Jun
Groningen U21
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
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