Sport Picks
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Excelsior
Netherlands
Reserve League 2019/2020 
Match Events
26'
26'
Beekman T.
36'
36'
van Eijk F.
AI Match Summary
The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Nijmegen and Jong Excelsior finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jong Excelsior come out ahead of Jong Nijmegen on wins alone.
- Model gives Jong Nijmegen a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Nijmegen | Jong Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 2.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Excelsior
1:1
Feb 19, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Excelsior
1:0
Sep 26, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Nijmegen
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Nijmegen Compare
Top Goalscorer Beekman T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Jong Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer van Eijk F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
Jong Excelsior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Nijmegen Jong Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Nijmegen's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 25 recent games.
Jong Excelsior let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Jong Nijmegen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong Nijmegen VS Jong Excelsior
0.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.71
38% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Nijmegen
(Home) 12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2 Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9 Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2 Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6 Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5 Jong Heracles
Page 1 of 5
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2 Jong Sittard
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5 Jong Heracles
11 Feb
Jong Nijmegen
0 : 2 Groningen U21
27 Jan
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 3 Jong Willem II
14 Jan
Jong Nijmegen
1 : 4 Jong G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 3
Jong Excelsior
(Away) 29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4 Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1 Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2 Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4 Jong Excelsior
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1 Jong Excelsior
13 Jan
Jong FC Eindhoven
2 : 4 Jong Excelsior
02 Dec
Jong Nijmegen
1 : 1 Jong Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jong G.A. Eagles | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Jong Zwolle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Jong Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 5 | Jong Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Jong Heracles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Jong FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 9 | Jong De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong FC Twente | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong NAC Breda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Jong Willem II | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Jong Waalwijk | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Jong Nijmegen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Jong Roda | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25:18 | 16 |
| 6 | Jong Venlo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Jong Sittard | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 12 |
| 8 | Jong Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:27 | 11 |
| 9 | Jong FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:37 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong Excelsior | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:29 | 8 |
| 11 | Jong Dordrecht | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 3 |
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)
