Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Beekman T.

AI Match Summary

Jong Nijmegen in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jong Nijmegen
15%
Draws
39%
Jong Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Venlo haven't matched Jong Nijmegen's recent run of results.
  • Jong Nijmegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Nijmegen Jong Venlo
Matches Played 25 20
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.32 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Nijmegen
0:0
Nov 4, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Venlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Beekman T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Jong Venlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
Jong Venlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Nijmegen Jong Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Nijmegen scored in 88% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Jong Venlo conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Jong Nijmegen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jong Venlo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Nijmegen VS Jong Venlo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Nijmegen

(Home)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
Page 1 of 5

Jong Venlo

(Away)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)