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Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Waalwijk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 14, 2020
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Nijmegen host Jong Waalwijk in the Reserve League 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jong Waalwijk have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Jong Nijmegen have conceded 1.72 and scored 2.32. Past meetings favor Jong Nijmegen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.76, favoring Jong Nijmegen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jong Nijmegen
15%
Draws
39%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Waalwijk haven't matched Jong Nijmegen's recent run of results.
  • Jong Nijmegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Nijmegen Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 25 22
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.32 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Waalwijk
0:0
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen
0:1
Feb 18, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen
2:1
Mar 5, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Waalwijk
1:3
Nov 14, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Nijmegen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Nijmegen Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Nijmegen scored in 88% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Jong Waalwijk conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Jong Nijmegen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Nijmegen VS Jong Waalwijk
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Nijmegen

(Home)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
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Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
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