Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong PSV vs Den Bosch

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Wang B.
27'
Sub
Bahaty M. In: Dumbili S.
Out: Bahaty M.
37'
De Corte D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Jong PSV and Den Bosch finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong PSV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jong PSV
35%
Draws
20%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jong PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong PSV come out ahead of Den Bosch on wins alone.
  • Jong PSV are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 68%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV Den Bosch
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Den Bosch
3:1
Mar 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Den Bosch
3:0
Mar 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Den Bosch
2:4
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornecion S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer De Corte D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV 86 / 100
Den Bosch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong PSV's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Den Bosch has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jong PSV stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong PSV VS Den Bosch
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV

(Home)
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong Ajax
28 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2
Jong PSV
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1
Jong PSV
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Den Bosch

(Away)
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
21 Aug
Den Bosch
5 : 2
Eindhoven FC
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2
Den Bosch
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 6 6 0 0 24:9 18
2 Almere City 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
3 Maastricht 6 4 1 1 9:9 13
4 Venlo 6 4 0 2 16:10 12
5 FC Emmen 6 4 0 2 16:14 12
6 Roda 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
7 Jong PSV 7 3 2 2 12:12 11
8 Waalwijk 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
9 Vitesse 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 7 3 0 4 17:15 9
11 Helmond Sport 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
12 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 11:14 7
13 Eindhoven FC 6 2 1 3 8:12 7
14 Jong Ajax 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
15 FC Volendam 5 2 0 3 14:10 6
16 Den Bosch 5 1 1 3 10:13 4
17 Dordrecht 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
18 De Graafschap 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
19 Jong Utrecht 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
20 TOP Oss 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)