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Jong PSV vs Den Bosch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Wang B.
27'
Sub
Bahaty M. In: Dumbili S.
Out: Bahaty M.
37'
De Corte D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Jong PSV and Den Bosch finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong PSV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jong PSV
20%
Draws
52%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Den Bosch come out ahead of Jong PSV on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 19%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Den Bosch
3:1
Mar 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Den Bosch
3:0
Mar 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Den Bosch
2:4
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Jong PSV
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornecion S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer De Corte D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV 32 / 100
Den Bosch 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Bosch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Jong PSV's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jong PSV stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong PSV VS Den Bosch
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2
NAC Breda
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7
Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2
Jong PSV
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

Den Bosch

(Away)
01 Nov
FC Emmen
0 : 5
Den Bosch
27 Oct
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 5
Den Bosch
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)