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Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Jong PSV Logo

Jong PSV

1 - 1
FT
Jong Ajax Logo

Jong Ajax

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Unuvar E.
Assist: Acheampong L.
47'
Bresser M.
53'
Muzungu M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Jong PSV and Jong Ajax finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong PSV
30%
Draws
31%
Jong Ajax
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jong PSV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jong PSV are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV Jong Ajax
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV
2:2
Jan 20, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV
4:0
Aug 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong PSV Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Jong Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Unuvar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV 84 / 100
Jong Ajax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV Jong Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong PSV scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Jong Ajax conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Jong PSV went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong PSV VS Jong Ajax
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV

(Home)
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Jong Ajax

(Away)
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)