Sport Picks
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven 
Match Events
18'
18'
Monamay M.
34'
34'
Jones A.
Assist: Kluit F.
46'
46'
Sub
Bouziane W. In: van den Ban Y.
Out: Bouziane W.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Jong PSV and Jong AZ Alkmaar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jong AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of Jong PSV on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Jong PSV's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong PSV | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
2:2
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Bergraaf J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong PSV 47 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong PSV Jong AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jong PSV scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Jong AZ Alkmaar conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Jong PSV stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong PSV VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong PSV
(Home) 02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2 NAC Breda
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7 Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2 Jong PSV
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Dordrecht
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 7
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2 NAC Breda
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Dordrecht
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1 Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 3
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4 Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
