Sport Picks
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven 
Match Events
18'
18'
Monamay M.
34'
34'
Jones A.
Assist: Kluit F.
46'
46'
Sub
Bouziane W. In: van den Ban Y.
Out: Bouziane W.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Jong PSV and Jong AZ Alkmaar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jong AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of Jong PSV on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong PSV | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
2:2
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Bergraaf J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong PSV 30 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong PSV Jong AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jong PSV scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Jong AZ Alkmaar conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Jong PSV stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong PSV VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
1.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong PSV
(Home) 14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1 Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
28 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1 Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0 TOP Oss
10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 3
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Venlo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 7 | Roda | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Helmond Sport | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 8 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Den Bosch | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 4 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 4 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
