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Jong PSV vs NAC Breda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong PSV host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. NAC Breda have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Jong PSV have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Jong PSV have won 0 to NAC Breda's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2024, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.81, favoring NAC Breda. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jong PSV
30%
Draws
61%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • NAC Breda have won more games recently than Jong PSV.
  • NAC Breda are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • NAC Breda have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 11%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong PSV NAC Breda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong PSV
2:0
Dec 4, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs NAC Breda
0:5
Mar 6, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs NAC Breda
1:2
Jan 6, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong PSV
2:1
Feb 25, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong PSV
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong PSV 10 / 100
NAC Breda 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong PSV NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong PSV's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: NAC Breda conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Jong PSV remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong PSV VS NAC Breda
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong PSV

(Home)
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

NAC Breda

(Away)
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 11 9 1 1 36:13 28
2 Almere City 11 7 1 3 23:9 22
3 Venlo 11 7 1 3 30:18 22
4 FC Emmen 11 7 1 3 24:19 22
5 NAC Breda 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Roda 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
7 Vitesse 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
8 FC Volendam 11 5 1 5 23:18 16
9 Maastricht 11 5 1 5 14:25 16
10 Waalwijk 11 3 6 2 20:16 15
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 11 4 2 5 26:22 14
12 Den Bosch 11 4 2 5 16:19 14
13 Jong PSV 11 3 4 4 15:18 13
14 TOP Oss 11 4 0 7 16:17 12
15 Eindhoven FC 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
16 Jong Ajax 11 3 2 6 15:26 11
17 De Graafschap 11 3 2 6 14:25 11
18 Dordrecht 11 3 2 6 14:27 11
19 Helmond Sport 11 2 3 6 16:21 9
20 Jong Utrecht 11 2 1 8 17:25 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)