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Jong Roda vs Jong Zwolle Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Reijnders E.
46' Event
Stassen B.
54' Event
Prljic L.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Roda and Jong Zwolle finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Zwolle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jong Roda
30%
Draws
58%
Jong Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Zwolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Zwolle have managed 2.04 goals a game lately — Jong Roda are scoring more at 2.58.
  • Win probability leans Jong Zwolle's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 14%
Jong Zwolle Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Roda Jong Zwolle
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.58 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Zwolle
1:4
Apr 30, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Zwolle
1:1
Dec 4, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Zwolle vs Jong Roda
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Stassen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jong Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Reijnders E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prljic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Roda 23 / 100
Jong Zwolle 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Roda Jong Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Zwolle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Roda scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Jong Zwolle conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Jong Roda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Roda VS Jong Zwolle
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Roda

(Home)
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2
Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1
Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1
Jong Roda
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Jong Zwolle

(Away)
10 Mar
Jong Zwolle
4 : 0
Jong Feyenoord
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
24 Feb
Jong Zwolle
2 : 3
Jong Heerenveen
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Zwolle
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
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