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Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Hardenberg Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark Nieuw Terbregge, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zwikstra G.
26' Event
Sallent K.
Assist: Esser J.
31' Event
Witteveen M.
Assist: Zwikstra G.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Jong Sparta Rotterdam and Hardenberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
35%
Draws
16%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Sparta Rotterdam's 2.1 goals per match outpaces what Hardenberg have produced (1.61).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sparta Rotterdam Hardenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Hardenberg
1:3
Mar 7, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Hardenberg
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
0:2
Jan 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
5:1
Aug 31, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Hardenberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Sallent K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Witteveen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zwikstra G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sparta Rotterdam 30 / 100
Hardenberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sparta Rotterdam scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Hardenberg has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jong Sparta Rotterdam remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sparta Rotterdam VS Hardenberg
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Home)
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

Hardenberg

(Away)
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 7 6 0 1 19:4 18
2 De Treffers 7 4 3 0 19:6 15
3 Kozakken Boys 7 4 2 1 18:11 14
4 IJsselmeervogels 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
5 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 3 1 21:12 12
6 Hardenberg 7 3 2 2 13:11 11
7 Barendrecht 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
8 Katwijk 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 AFC 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 Spakenburg 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
11 RKAV Volendam 7 2 3 2 9:13 9
12 Rijnsburgse Boys 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
13 GVVV 6 2 0 4 11:16 6
14 Koninklijke HFC 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
15 HSV Hoek 7 1 3 3 8:12 6
16 VV Kloetinge 7 1 3 3 10:17 6
17 Jong Almere City 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
18 Rohda Raalte 7 0 1 6 6:20 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)