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Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs HSV Hoek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark Nieuw Terbregge, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gompel M.
Assist: Sallent K.
29'
de Nooijer Y.
29'
Ketels L.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Jong Sparta Rotterdam and HSV Hoek finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Sparta Rotterdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
35%
Draws
30%
HSV Hoek
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HSV Hoek come out ahead of Jong Sparta Rotterdam on wins alone.
  • Jong Sparta Rotterdam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Sparta Rotterdam HSV Hoek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs HSV Hoek
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs HSV Hoek
1:4
Sep 6, 2025 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Oukhattou M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gompel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

HSV Hoek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Sparta Rotterdam 83 / 100
HSV Hoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Sparta Rotterdam HSV Hoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Sparta Rotterdam scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

HSV Hoek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jong Sparta Rotterdam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Sparta Rotterdam VS HSV Hoek
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Home)
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

HSV Hoek

(Away)
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1
De Treffers
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)