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Stadium Background

Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Utrecht host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Jong Utrecht at 1.41 goals for, 1.93 against; Dordrecht at 1.31 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Jong Utrecht slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.38 - 1.69) back Dordrecht to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong Utrecht
15%
Draws
46%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dordrecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jong Utrecht are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 13%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Utrecht Dordrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
3:1
Nov 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Utrecht
1:2
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
May 10, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Utrecht 75 / 100
Dordrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Utrecht Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Utrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Jong Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jong Utrecht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong Utrecht VS Dordrecht
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Utrecht

(Home)
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Dordrecht

(Away)
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3
FC Emmen
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 11 9 1 1 36:13 28
2 Almere City 11 7 1 3 23:9 22
3 Venlo 11 7 1 3 30:18 22
4 FC Emmen 11 7 1 3 24:19 22
5 NAC Breda 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Roda 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
7 Vitesse 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
8 FC Volendam 11 5 1 5 23:18 16
9 Maastricht 11 5 1 5 14:25 16
10 Waalwijk 11 3 6 2 20:16 15
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 11 4 2 5 26:22 14
12 Den Bosch 11 4 2 5 16:19 14
13 Jong PSV 11 3 4 4 15:18 13
14 TOP Oss 11 4 0 7 16:17 12
15 Eindhoven FC 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
16 Jong Ajax 11 3 2 6 15:26 11
17 De Graafschap 11 3 2 6 14:25 11
18 Dordrecht 11 3 2 6 14:27 11
19 Helmond Sport 11 2 3 6 16:21 9
20 Jong Utrecht 11 2 1 8 17:25 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)