Sport Picks
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ait Mouhou N.
Assist: de Blok L.
18'
18'
Schenkhuizen T.
Assist: Tsigkas M.
38'
38'
Schuldes J.
Assist: Laaouina D.
AI Match Summary
Venlo in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venlo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Venlo lately — more wins on the board than Jong Utrecht.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
1:3
Feb 2, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
2:2
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong Utrecht
0:1
Apr 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong Utrecht
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Schuldes J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Venlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ait Mouhou N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Schenkhuizen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Utrecht 34 / 100
Venlo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Utrecht Venlo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Venlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Venlo has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Jong Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong Utrecht VS Venlo
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Utrecht
(Home) 14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
17 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Vitesse
03 Jul
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Werder Bremen II
Page 1 of 3
Venlo
(Away) 11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2 Venlo
21 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
5 : 3 Venlo
11 Jul
De Treffers
2 : 2 Venlo
17 Apr
Helmond Sport
2 : 0 Venlo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Venlo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 7 | Roda | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Helmond Sport | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 8 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Den Bosch | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 4 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 4 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
