Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Utrecht vs Venlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ait Mouhou N.
Assist: de Blok L.
18' Event
Schenkhuizen T.
Assist: Tsigkas M.
38' Event
Schuldes J.
Assist: Laaouina D.

AI Match Summary

Venlo in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Jong Utrecht
15%
Draws
65%
Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venlo lately — more wins on the board than Jong Utrecht.
  • Model gives Venlo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Utrecht Venlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.45 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
1:3
Feb 2, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
2:2
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong Utrecht
0:1
Apr 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Venlo
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong Utrecht
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Schuldes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ait Mouhou N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schenkhuizen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Utrecht 10 / 100
Venlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Utrecht Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Jong Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jong Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Utrecht VS Venlo
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Utrecht

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2
Dordrecht
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2
Jong Utrecht
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

Venlo

(Away)
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4
Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)