Sport Picks
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht 
Match Events
26'
26'
Schwarz R.
30'
30'
Bannis N.
Assist: de Carvalho F.
45'
45'
Chigozie Owen E.
Assist: den Boggende T.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Jong Utrecht and Vitesse finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitesse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitesse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vitesse carry the better recent record into this one.
- Vitesse are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vitesse have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 14%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
0:3
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
2:0
Mar 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse
0:2
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Chigozie Owen E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Vitesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Bannis N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sellouf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Utrecht 23 / 100
Vitesse 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Utrecht Vitesse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vitesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Vitesse let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Jong Utrecht has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jong Utrecht VS Vitesse
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Utrecht
(Home) 02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2 Dordrecht
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2 Jong Utrecht
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2 Dordrecht
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 3
Vitesse
(Away) 02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 Vitesse
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2 Vitesse
23 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 2 FC Emmen
16 Oct
Eindhoven FC
0 : 1 Vitesse
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0 Vitesse
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 Vitesse
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2 Vitesse
16 Oct
Eindhoven FC
0 : 1 Vitesse
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0 Vitesse
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0 Vitesse
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
