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Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Utrecht play Werder Bremen II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong Utrecht averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Werder Bremen II averaged 2 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Utrecht won 0, Werder Bremen II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Jong Utrecht and 1.38 for Werder Bremen II. This points to a Werder Bremen II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jong Utrecht
30%
Draws
40%
Werder Bremen II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Werder Bremen II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Utrecht picked up more points recently compared to Werder Bremen II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 17%
Werder Bremen II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Utrecht Werder Bremen II
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.66 2
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Utrecht 30 / 100
Werder Bremen II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Utrecht Werder Bremen II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Werder Bremen II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong Utrecht attacking → ← attacking Werder Bremen II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Werder Bremen II let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jong Utrecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Werder Bremen II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 34
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00