Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Venlo vs Jong Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Mon, Nov 22, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Venlo host Jong Waalwijk in the Reserve League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Jong Waalwijk have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Jong Venlo have conceded 1.8 and scored 2.3. Head-to-head, Jong Venlo have won 0 to Jong Waalwijk's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.69) point toward Jong Waalwijk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jong Venlo
15%
Draws
42%
Jong Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong Waalwijk come out ahead of Jong Venlo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jong Venlo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jong Waalwijk have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Venlo Jong Waalwijk
Matches Played 20 22
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.3 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Waalwijk
0:0
Jan 27, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Waalwijk
2:5
Aug 19, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Venlo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Venlo 40 / 100
Jong Waalwijk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Venlo Jong Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Venlo scored in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Jong Waalwijk let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Difficult form: Jong Waalwijk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Venlo VS Jong Waalwijk
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Venlo

(Home)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
Page 1 of 4

Jong Waalwijk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)