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Jong Venlo vs Jong Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Tue, Apr 28, 2020
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Venlo host Jong Willem II in the Reserve League 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Jong Venlo at 2.3 goals for, 1.8 against; Jong Willem II at 1.48 for, 2.04 against. Head-to-head, Jong Venlo have won 1 to Jong Willem II's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.75) point toward Jong Venlo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Jong Venlo
15%
Draws
28%
Jong Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Willem II lately — more wins on the board than Jong Venlo.
  • Jong Venlo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jong Venlo Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Venlo Jong Willem II
Matches Played 20 25
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.3 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Willem II
0:0
Aug 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Venlo vs Jong Willem II
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Venlo 58 / 100
Jong Willem II 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Venlo Jong Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Venlo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Jong Willem II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Jong Willem II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Venlo VS Jong Willem II
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Venlo

(Home)
06 Dec
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Venlo
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
27 Sept
Jong Venlo
2 : 0
Jong Den Haag
02 Mar
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
17 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 0
Jong Venlo
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Jong Willem II

(Away)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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