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Jong Volendam vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Volendam play Rijnsburgse Boys in the Tweede Divisie 2022/2023. Rijnsburgse Boys are favorites here. Recently, Jong Volendam averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Rijnsburgse Boys averaged 2.34 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Jong Volendam won 3, Rijnsburgse Boys won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2023 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Jong Volendam and 1.93 for Rijnsburgse Boys. This points to a Rijnsburgse Boys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jong Volendam
17%
Draws
56%
Rijnsburgse Boys
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rijnsburgse Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Jong Volendam picked up more points recently compared to Rijnsburgse Boys.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jong Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Rijnsburgse Boys Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Volendam Rijnsburgse Boys
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.37 2.34
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Jong Volendam vs Rijnsburgse Boys
4:3
Nov 26, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Volendam
1:0
May 24, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Jong Volendam vs Rijnsburgse Boys
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Volendam
0:1
May 22, 2021 Tweede Divisie
Jong Volendam vs Rijnsburgse Boys
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hoeve Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rijnsburgse Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Strooker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ros B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Volendam 26 / 100
Rijnsburgse Boys 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Volendam Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnsburgse Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rijnsburgse Boys & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong Volendam attacking → ← attacking Rijnsburgse Boys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Volendam scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Rijnsburgse Boys let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jong Volendam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rijnsburgse Boys lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Katwijk34225774:3671
2Rijnsburgse Boys34216773:4269
3AFC34209560:3169
4Hardenberg341861075:4860
5De Treffers341861066:4560
6Quick Boys341751272:4856
7Koninklijke HFC341671152:4155
8SVV Scheveningen341291338:4645
9VV Noordwijk341271545:4543
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341271558:6143
11Spakenburg3411101350:5543
12Lisse3410121245:5142
13Kozakken Boys341241850:5840
14Excelsior Maassluis341091550:6939
15TEC341091541:6039
16IJsselmeervogels34961951:7133
17Jong Volendam34752245:8226
18OFC Oostzaan34482233:8920