Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Koenraat J.
29' Event
Brrou A.
40' Event
Min D.

AI Match Summary

Jong Waalwijk in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Waalwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Jong Waalwijk
20%
Draws
20%
Jong Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Roda lately — more wins on the board than Jong Waalwijk.
  • Win probability leans Jong Waalwijk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jong Waalwijk have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Roda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Waalwijk Jong Roda
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 11 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.04 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Roda
4:1
Nov 5, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Waalwijk
2:1
Aug 20, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Roda vs Jong Waalwijk
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Koenraat J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Min D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jong Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Brrou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Waalwijk 58 / 100
Jong Roda 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Waalwijk Jong Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Waalwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Roda has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Jong Waalwijk found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (23 games).

Difficult form: Jong Roda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Waalwijk VS Jong Roda
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Waalwijk

(Home)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
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Jong Roda

(Away)
04 Sept
Jong Feyenoord
2 : 2
Jong Roda
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Roda
1 : 1
Groningen U21
17 Feb
Jong Roda
1 : 4
Jong Zwolle
10 Feb
Jong Venlo
3 : 1
Jong Roda
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