Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Sittard Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Mon, Dec 6, 2021
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Waalwijk host Jong Sittard in the Reserve League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Jong Waalwijk at 2.08 goals for, 1.38 against; Jong Sittard at 2.04 for, 2.33 against. Head-to-head, Jong Waalwijk have won 2 to Jong Sittard's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.75, favoring Jong Waalwijk. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jong Waalwijk
15%
Draws
53%
Jong Sittard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Waalwijk's 2.08 goals per match outpaces what Jong Sittard have produced (2.04).
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Jong Sittard taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jong Waalwijk Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Sittard Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Waalwijk Jong Sittard
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.08 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Sittard
0:0
Aug 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Waalwijk
0:4
Feb 4, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Waalwijk
1:0
Dec 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Sittard vs Jong Waalwijk
2:0
Feb 20, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Waalwijk vs Jong Sittard
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Waalwijk 28 / 100
Jong Sittard 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Waalwijk Jong Sittard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sittard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Sittard let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jong Waalwijk scored in 79% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jong Waalwijk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Waalwijk VS Jong Sittard
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Waalwijk

(Home)
18 Oct
Jong Maastricht
0 : 1
Jong Waalwijk
09 Mar
Jong Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong Roda
02 Mar
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
25 Feb
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 0
Jong Waalwijk
17 Feb
Jong Waalwijk
2 : 4
Groningen U21
Page 1 of 5

Jong Sittard

(Away)
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Mar
Jong Maastricht
1 : 3
Jong Sittard
22 Feb
Jong Sittard
6 : 1
Jong Almere City
01 Nov
Jong Sittard
2 : 1
Jong Venlo
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Heracles 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Jong FC Emmen 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Jong FC Twente 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
4 Jong Heerenveen 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
5 Jong Almere City 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Den Haag 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
2 Jong Venlo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Jong Sittard 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Jong Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Jong Maastricht 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Reserve League (Winners stage)