Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Willem II vs Jong Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Kabangu E.
78' Event
Kabangu E.
83' Event
Kabangu E.

AI Match Summary

Jong Willem II in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Willem II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jong Willem II
15%
Draws
0%
Jong Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong Willem II have won more games recently than Jong Dordrecht.
  • Model gives Jong Willem II a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 68%
Jong Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Willem II Jong Dordrecht
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 10 1
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.48 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.04 3.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Dordrecht
3:0
Dec 10, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Dordrecht
4:0
Apr 30, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Willem II
0:1
Dec 4, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong Dordrecht
1:2
Feb 20, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Willem II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabangu E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Jong Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Willem II 95 / 100
Jong Dordrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Willem II Jong Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Willem II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Willem II scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Jong Dordrecht has conceded goals in 100% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Dordrecht lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jong Willem II VS Jong Dordrecht
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Willem II

(Home)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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Jong Dordrecht

(Away)
11 Aug
Jong Feyenoord
5 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4
Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Sittard
2 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3
Jong FC Eindhoven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)