Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Willem II vs Jong NAC Breda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Spieringhs W.
25' Event
van Hooijdonk S.
84' Event
van der Gaag J.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong Willem II and Jong NAC Breda finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong NAC Breda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jong Willem II
20%
Draws
50%
Jong NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jong NAC Breda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jong NAC Breda have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jong Willem II Clean Sheet 15%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Willem II Jong NAC Breda
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Willem II vs Jong NAC Breda
1:3
Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Willem II
2:0
Aug 27, 2018 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Willem II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Spieringhs W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Jong NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer van Hooijdonk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Gaag J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Willem II 30 / 100
Jong NAC Breda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Willem II Jong NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Willem II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Willem II scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Jong NAC Breda let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Jong Willem II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Willem II VS Jong NAC Breda
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Willem II

(Home)
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong Heerenveen
9 : 1
Jong Willem II
17 Feb
Jong Heracles
3 : 1
Jong Willem II
03 Feb
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Jong Willem II
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Jong NAC Breda

(Away)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
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