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Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Stadsparksvallen, Jönköping
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jonkoping host AFC Malmo in the Division 1 - Södra. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jonkoping have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against AFC Malmo's 1.97 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Jonkoping slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward AFC Malmo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jonkoping
30%
Draws
37%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Jonkoping haven't matched AFC Malmo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonkoping AFC Malmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
0:3
Jun 29, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonkoping 36 / 100
AFC Malmo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonkoping AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jonkoping scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

AFC Malmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Jonkoping has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jonkoping VS AFC Malmo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonkoping

(Home)
26 Sept
Utsikten
3 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
16 Sept
Jonkoping
1 : 0
Atvidaberg
13 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Jonkoping
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2
AFC Malmo
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 24 15 6 3 53:28 51
2 Atvidaberg 24 13 6 5 48:34 45
3 Hassleholms IF 24 13 3 8 44:29 42
4 Lunds Bois 24 11 8 5 46:28 41
5 AFC Malmo 24 10 8 6 44:35 38
6 Rosengard 24 10 8 6 41:34 38
7 Trollhattan 24 10 7 7 41:36 37
8 Jonkoping 24 9 6 9 29:25 33
9 Tvaaker 24 9 6 9 32:37 33
10 Olympic 24 9 3 12 41:46 30
11 Skovde 24 7 9 8 28:36 30
12 Eskilsminne 24 8 5 11 39:44 29
13 Kristianstad 24 7 6 11 29:36 27
14 Laholms 24 6 4 14 31:43 22
15 Angelholm 24 3 9 12 28:47 18
16 Utsikten 24 2 6 16 21:57 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)