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Jonkoping vs Skovde Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Stadsparksvallen, Jönköping
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kiwarkis A.
35' Event
Nygaard A.
46'
Sub
Johnson S. In: Land L.
Out: Johnson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Jonkoping and Skovde finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jonkoping
20%
Draws
33%
Skovde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jonkoping carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Skovde Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonkoping Skovde
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Skovde
3:2
Jun 1, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Jonkoping
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Jonkoping vs Skovde
2:1
Oct 6, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Skovde
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Jonkoping
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiwarkis A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lyck L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygaard A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonkoping 31 / 100
Skovde 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonkoping Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skovde has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Jonkoping's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jonkoping remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonkoping VS Skovde
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonkoping

(Home)
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
16 Sept
Jonkoping
1 : 0
Atvidaberg
13 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Jonkoping
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Angelholm
0 : 1
Jonkoping
Page 1 of 6

Skovde

(Away)
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 24 15 6 3 53:28 51
2 Atvidaberg 24 13 6 5 48:34 45
3 Hassleholms IF 24 13 3 8 44:29 42
4 Lunds Bois 24 11 8 5 46:28 41
5 AFC Malmo 24 10 8 6 44:35 38
6 Rosengard 24 10 8 6 41:34 38
7 Trollhattan 24 10 7 7 41:36 37
8 Jonkoping 24 9 6 9 29:25 33
9 Tvaaker 24 9 6 9 32:37 33
10 Olympic 24 9 3 12 41:46 30
11 Skovde 24 7 9 8 28:36 30
12 Eskilsminne 24 8 5 11 39:44 29
13 Kristianstad 24 7 6 11 29:36 27
14 Laholms 24 6 4 14 31:43 22
15 Angelholm 24 3 9 12 28:47 18
16 Utsikten 24 2 6 16 21:57 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)