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Jonkoping vs Tvaaker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Stadsparksvallen, Jönköping
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sjoland M.
57'
Sub
Kozica D. In: Drott J.
Out: Kozica D.
57'
Sub
Hellstrom C. In: Lyck L.
Out: Hellstrom C.

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Jonkoping
20%
Draws
36%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jonkoping have won more games recently than Tvaaker.
  • Jonkoping are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tvaaker here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 18%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonkoping Tvaaker
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Tvaaker
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Jonkoping
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Jonkoping
2:2
May 13, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Tvaaker
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjoland M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonkoping 36 / 100
Tvaaker 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonkoping Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonkoping found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jonkoping remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonkoping VS Tvaaker
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonkoping

(Home)
31 Oct
Lunds Bois
1 : 0
Jonkoping
24 Oct
Trollhattan
2 : 4
Jonkoping
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1
AFC Malmo
10 Oct
Hassleholms IF
1 : 0
Jonkoping
03 Oct
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Eskilsminne
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
31 Oct
Angelholm
1 : 0
Tvaaker
23 Oct
Utsikten
1 : 4
Tvaaker
17 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Rosengard
12 Oct
Laholms
1 : 1
Tvaaker
03 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 29 20 6 3 66:32 66
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 29 14 8 7 57:37 50
4 AFC Malmo 29 13 8 8 58:45 47
5 Atvidaberg 29 13 8 8 53:43 47
6 Rosengard 29 10 10 9 46:44 40
7 Jonkoping 29 11 6 12 35:31 39
8 Trollhattan 29 10 8 11 51:54 38
9 Tvaaker 29 10 8 11 39:43 38
10 Skovde 29 9 11 9 39:47 38
11 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
12 Kristianstad 29 10 6 13 37:41 36
13 Eskilsminne 29 9 6 14 45:60 33
14 Laholms 29 9 5 15 40:47 32
15 Angelholm 29 7 9 13 37:50 30
16 Utsikten 29 3 6 20 27:71 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)