Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonkoping vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Stadsparksvallen, Jönköping
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sjoland M.
57'
Sub
Kozica D. In: Drott J.
Out: Kozica D.
57'
Sub
Hellstrom C. In: Lyck L.
Out: Hellstrom C.

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jonkoping
35%
Draws
32%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Tvaaker have won more games recently than Jonkoping.
  • Jonkoping are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tvaaker here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 14%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonkoping Tvaaker
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Tvaaker
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Jonkoping
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Jonkoping
2:2
May 13, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Tvaaker
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjoland M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonkoping 39 / 100
Tvaaker 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonkoping Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonkoping found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Tvaaker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jonkoping remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jonkoping VS Tvaaker
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonkoping

(Home)
29 Aug
Angelholm
0 : 1
Jonkoping
22 Aug
Jonkoping
0 : 0
Rosengard
15 Aug
Laholms
0 : 0
Jonkoping
09 Aug
Jonkoping
2 : 0
Olympic
02 Aug
Rosengard
4 : 2
Jonkoping
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
22 Aug
Olympic
3 : 4
Tvaaker
15 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 2
Tvaaker
08 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Atvidaberg
01 Aug
Tvaaker
2 : 2
Utsikten
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 19 11 6 2 41:21 39
2 Hassleholms IF 20 12 3 5 40:24 39
3 Atvidaberg 20 10 6 4 42:30 36
4 Lunds Bois 20 9 8 3 42:26 35
5 Rosengard 20 9 7 4 35:26 34
6 AFC Malmo 20 8 7 5 39:31 31
7 Tvaaker 19 8 5 6 27:28 29
8 Jonkoping 19 7 5 7 25:19 26
9 Olympic 20 8 2 10 36:40 26
10 Eskilsminne 20 7 4 9 32:37 25
11 Trollhattan 20 6 7 7 28:33 25
12 Skovde 19 4 9 6 18:28 21
13 Kristianstad 20 5 5 10 25:33 20
14 Laholms 20 5 3 12 27:38 18
15 Angelholm 20 3 8 9 25:36 17
16 Utsikten 20 1 5 14 17:49 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)