Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs BK Astrio

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nilsson A.
20' Event
Nilsson E.
44' Event
Gumede M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Jonsereds and BK Astrio finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jonsereds
15%
Draws
0%
BK Astrio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of BK Astrio on wins alone.
  • Jonsereds are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 20%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds BK Astrio
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 2 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs BK Astrio
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Jonsereds
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs BK Astrio
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Jonsereds
5:0
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Jonsereds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

BK Astrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumede M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazreku A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 85 / 100
BK Astrio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds BK Astrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonsereds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

BK Astrio has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

BK Astrio lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS BK Astrio
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
23 Aug
Galtabacks
1 : 1
Jonsereds
15 Aug
Jonsereds
2 : 1
Onsala
Page 1 of 6

BK Astrio

(Away)
12 Sept
Kongahalla
5 : 1
BK Astrio
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
22 Aug
BK Astrio
0 : 1
Boljan
14 Aug
Lindome
2 : 0
BK Astrio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 21 15 2 4 37:17 47
2 Hestrafors 21 12 4 5 46:34 40
3 Dalstorps 21 11 6 4 41:23 39
4 Jonsereds 21 11 5 5 38:34 38
5 Lindome 21 10 4 7 39:31 34
6 Frolunda 21 9 6 6 41:34 33
7 Boljan 21 9 5 7 34:29 32
8 Qviding 20 8 4 8 39:39 28
9 Onsala 21 6 6 9 29:35 24
10 Astorps 20 6 5 9 25:34 23
11 Torslanda 21 5 7 9 33:38 22
12 Kongahalla 21 5 6 10 29:40 21
13 Galtabacks 21 4 5 12 28:35 17
14 BK Astrio 21 1 3 17 15:51 6
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)