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Jonsereds vs Frolunda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jonsereds host Frolunda in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Frolunda have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while Jonsereds have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.86. Past meetings favor Jonsereds slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.13, favoring Jonsereds. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jonsereds
20%
Draws
40%
Frolunda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jonsereds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jonsereds's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 20%
Frolunda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Frolunda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Jonsereds
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Jonsereds
4:2
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Frolunda
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Frolunda
1:3
Jun 9, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Jonsereds
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 49 / 100
Frolunda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Frolunda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonsereds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonsereds scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Frolunda let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Jonsereds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Frolunda
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
10 Oct
Dalstorps
3 : 2
Jonsereds
03 Oct
Boljan
0 : 1
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
Page 1 of 6

Frolunda

(Away)
04 Oct
BK Astrio
1 : 1
Frolunda
27 Sept
Frolunda
2 : 0
Astorps
20 Sept
Galtabacks
4 : 1
Frolunda
11 Sept
Dalstorps
3 : 0
Frolunda
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 24 17 3 4 42:19 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 47:26 46
3 Jonsereds 24 12 6 6 40:37 42
4 Hestrafors 24 12 5 7 48:39 41
5 Frolunda 24 10 7 7 45:39 37
6 Boljan 25 10 7 8 39:33 37
7 Lindome 25 11 4 10 47:43 37
8 Qviding 24 10 4 10 44:44 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 33:37 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 39:42 28
11 Kongahalla 24 7 6 11 35:45 27
12 Astorps 24 7 5 12 29:41 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 38:46 20
14 BK Astrio 24 2 4 18 22:57 10
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)