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Stadium Background

Jonsereds vs Hestrafors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mekic L.
Penalty Missed
12' Event
Delgado A.
52' Event
Egvik N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jonsereds
20%
Draws
40%
Hestrafors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jonsereds lately — more wins on the board than Hestrafors.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%
Hestrafors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonsereds Hestrafors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Hestrafors
1:1
May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Jonsereds
5:1
Jun 29, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Hestrafors
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Jonsereds
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Egvik N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hestrafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonsereds 30 / 100
Hestrafors 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonsereds Hestrafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hestrafors has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Jonsereds's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jonsereds stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jonsereds VS Hestrafors
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonsereds

(Home)
03 Oct
Boljan
0 : 1
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
Page 1 of 6

Hestrafors

(Away)
02 Oct
Hestrafors
0 : 1
Onsala
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
19 Sept
Hestrafors
1 : 3
Kongahalla
11 Sept
Boljan
1 : 3
Hestrafors
06 Sept
Hestrafors
2 : 0
Lindome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 24 17 3 4 42:19 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 47:26 46
3 Jonsereds 24 12 6 6 40:37 42
4 Hestrafors 24 12 5 7 48:39 41
5 Lindome 24 11 4 9 46:40 37
6 Frolunda 24 10 7 7 45:39 37
7 Boljan 24 9 7 8 36:32 34
8 Qviding 24 10 4 10 44:44 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 33:37 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 39:42 28
11 Kongahalla 24 7 6 11 35:45 27
12 Astorps 24 7 5 12 29:41 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 38:46 20
14 BK Astrio 24 2 4 18 22:57 10
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)