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Stadium Background

Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC

Australia Australia

WA State League Iluka Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Peacock L.
82' Event
Kobayashi T.
90' Event
Rossi J.

AI Match Summary

Joondalup City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Joondalup City
33%
Draws
27%
Gwelup Croatia SC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Joondalup City lately — more wins on the board than Gwelup Croatia SC.
  • Model gives Joondalup City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Joondalup City have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 20%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joondalup City Gwelup Croatia SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
May 31, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Peacock L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobayashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joondalup City 40 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joondalup City Gwelup Croatia SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joondalup City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gwelup Croatia SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Joondalup City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Joondalup City VS Gwelup Croatia SC
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319