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Joondalup City vs Kalamunda City

Australia Australia

WA State League 2025 Iluka Sports Complex
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Match Events

36' Event
Gallagher M.
90' Event
Roca N.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League 2025 game between Joondalup City and Kalamunda City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Joondalup City
6%
Draws
4%
Kalamunda City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Joondalup City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Joondalup City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 18%
Kalamunda City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joondalup City Kalamunda City
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Kalamunda City
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 WA State League
Kalamunda City vs Joondalup City
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kalamunda City Compare

Top Goalscorer Roca N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joondalup City 85 / 100
Kalamunda City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joondalup City Kalamunda City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joondalup City found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Kalamunda City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Joondalup City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Joondalup City VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dianella White Eagle22146246:2248
2UWA Nedlands22152552:2847
3Joondalup City22116541:2639
4Kingsley Westside22107536:2437
5Murdoch University Melville2295850:4632
6Gwelup Croatia SC221021043:3932
7Mandurah City2285934:3329
8Subiaco2285933:3729
9Inglewood Utd22741129:4325
10Curtin University22631331:4621
11Kalamunda City22541323:4019
12Gosnells City22331620:5412