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Joondalup City vs Mandurah City Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

WA State League Iluka Sports Complex, Joondalup
Joondalup City Logo

Joondalup City

1 - 2
FT
Mandurah City Logo

Mandurah City

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Edwards H.
52' Event
Callaghan J.
72' Event
Lovell S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mandurah City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Joondalup City
30%
Draws
31%
Mandurah City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mandurah City average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Joondalup City's 1.81.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 15%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joondalup City Mandurah City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Mandurah City
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Joondalup City
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Mandurah City
3:2
May 3, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Joondalup City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Callaghan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lovell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joondalup City 30 / 100
Mandurah City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joondalup City Mandurah City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joondalup City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Joondalup City scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Mandurah City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Joondalup City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Joondalup City VS Mandurah City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Joondalup City

(Home)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Inglewood Utd
1 : 1
Joondalup City
Page 1 of 7

Mandurah City

(Away)
12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0
Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Mandurah City
08 Aug
Mandurah City
0 : 1
Quinns
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)