Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joondalup City vs Murdoch University Melville

Australia Australia

WA State League Iluka Sports Complex, Joondalup
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wynne-willson E.
23' Event
Edwards H.
61' Event
Wynne-willson E.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Joondalup City and Murdoch University Melville finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Joondalup City
11%
Draws
9%
Murdoch University Melville
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Murdoch University Melville haven't matched Joondalup City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Joondalup City a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Joondalup City have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.2%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 16%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joondalup City Murdoch University Melville
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Murdoch University Melville
3:2
May 19, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Joondalup City
3:4
Jun 14, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Joondalup City
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Murdoch University Melville
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snowden H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Wynne-willson E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joondalup City 75 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joondalup City Murdoch University Melville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joondalup City scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Murdoch University Melville has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Joondalup City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Joondalup City VS Murdoch University Melville
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Joondalup City

(Home)
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 1
Quinns
27 Jun
Subiaco
1 : 4
Joondalup City
20 Jun
Joondalup City
1 : 3
Floreat Athena
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Murdoch University Melville

(Away)
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Quinns
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
20 Jun
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 1
Inglewood Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)