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Joondalup City vs Murdoch University Melville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

WA State League Iluka Sports Complex, Joondalup
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Match Events

3' Event
Wynne-willson E.
23' Event
Edwards H.
61' Event
Wynne-willson E.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Joondalup City and Murdoch University Melville finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Joondalup City
20%
Draws
44%
Murdoch University Melville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Murdoch University Melville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Murdoch University Melville haven't matched Joondalup City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Joondalup City a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Joondalup City have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.4%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 15%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joondalup City Murdoch University Melville
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.81 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.55 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Murdoch University Melville
3:2
May 19, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Joondalup City
3:4
Jun 14, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Joondalup City
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Murdoch University Melville
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snowden H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Wynne-willson E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joondalup City 41 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joondalup City Murdoch University Melville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joondalup City scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Murdoch University Melville has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Joondalup City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Joondalup City VS Murdoch University Melville
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Joondalup City

(Home)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Inglewood Utd
1 : 1
Joondalup City
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Murdoch University Melville

(Away)
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Kingsley Westside
1 : 3
Murdoch University Melville
08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2
Curtin University
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)