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Jordan vs Bahrain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Wed, Jan 13, 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Jordan at 1.33 goals for, 1.18 against; Bahrain at 1.09 for, 1.6 against. Head-to-head, Jordan have won 2 to Bahrain's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.68 - 1.17) back Jordan to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jordan
20%
Draws
48%
Bahrain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahrain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Jordan have won more games recently than Bahrain.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Jordan taking it.
  • Jordan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jordan Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jordan Bahrain
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2024 Asian Cup
Jordan vs Bahrain
0:1
Sep 7, 2021 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Jordan
1:2
Mar 30, 2021 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Jordan
1:2
Aug 4, 2019 WAFF Championship
Jordan vs Bahrain
0:1
Aug 29, 2017 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Jordan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jordan 49 / 100
Bahrain 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jordan Bahrain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jordan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jordan found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Bahrain conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Bahrain registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jordan VS Bahrain
1.5 Goals Scored 0.71
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Jordan

(Home)
06 Oct
Jordan
0 : 0
Venezuela
27 Sept
Jordan
1 : 1
Syria
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 8

Bahrain

(Away)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Bahrain
0 : 3
United Arab Emirates
24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0
Bahrain
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams